Revolution
Destroyed?
Have I ensured that a world socialist
revolution will never happen?
A book by Steve Wallis (www.socialiststeve.me.uk)
Chapter
1
Introduction
Draft (7 March 2009)
This book is mainly autobiographical, particularly highlighting my role
in political events since I first started seriously participating in them in
1989. The book also presents my analysis of other major events in history (interspersed
throughout the book apart from chapter 2 on the Russian Revolution because my
views on that event strongly influence my positions on politics generally) and
my analysis of how society (and individuals within society) works.
There have been four major phases in my life to date. The first such
phase was the period up to 1989 before I became a political activist. The two
most significant events during this phase, as far as the way my mind has
operated is concerned, were going to a meeting of the Campaign for Nuclear
Disarmament (CND) in the village of Eynsham where we
were living during my childhood, at which the prospect of nuclear war
eliminating life on the planet was raised, and me later considering that I was
living at a crucial point in history in an important country and was fortunate
enough to have a good education (with the help of two highly educated parents)
and starting thinking about what I could do to make the world a better place. I
believe my mind, in subconscious if not conscious thoughts, was thinking about
both issues from then on – achieving a better society, which I saw as entailing
a form of socialism, partly influenced by my father’s Communist views but
tending to see change happening through Labour (particularly admiring then MP
Tony Benn), but concerned about nuclear annihilation. Although I took an
interest in political events, reading the Communist Party’s daily newspaper the
Morning Star (until my father
ceased buying it due to the party splitting) as well as receiving capitalist
viewpoints through the TV and radio, I didn’t see the point of getting involved
in political activism until the advent of the poll tax.
The second major phase in my life started when I first attended an
anti-poll tax meeting in 1989, and the strategy of mass non-payment, uniting
those who couldn’t afford to pay that unfair and unjust tax (the same for
low-waged people as millionaires) with those who refused to pay in solidarity,
was put forward. Whereas the Conservative government (Tories) under Margaret
Thatcher had previously taken on different sections of working class people at
a time, they were now taking on most of the working and middle classes at once.
The Militant Tendency, then carrying out entrism
(their word for infiltration) within the Labour Party, led that campaign and I
joined it the following year when it was proving itself serious at leading it.
Militant had a philosophy of world socialism being inevitable, and the point of
struggle being to achieve it more quickly and with less suffering than would
otherwise be the case. I think this philosophy was a major reason Militant took
winning struggles seriously, rather than prioritising recruitment and flitting
from campaign to campaign, as tended to be the attitude of the rival Socialist
Workers Party (SWP), illustrated by their almost complete abandonment of the
anti-poll tax campaign when Iraq invaded Kuwait, later in 1990, an attitude that
tended to also be adopted by my organisation towards the end of my involvement.
Militant had staked its reputation on defeating the poll tax and continued seriously
with the campaign (defending non-payers with the threats of courts and bailiffs
and having many members sent to jail for non-payment) to ensure the campaign’s
victory, which was also the main factor in Thatcher’s downfall as prime
minister. The Socialist Party (as Militant is now known) seems to have
abandoned the above-mentioned philosophy due to the threat of global warming
(which I am unconvinced is as serious as some scientists and politicians would
have us believe, but I have advocated investment in renewable sources of energy
due to fossil fuels running out and pollution as well as to be on the safe side
as far as that threat is concerned). The conflict between confidence that
things would work out (ingrained by my time in Militant) and the nightmare of annihilation
of the human race (dating back from that CND meeting in Eynsham)
became a major factor during the third phase of my life – switching to and fro
between my general confidence and occasional periods of panic/desperation (sudden
swings from one extreme to the other, rather than gradual mood swings, called
“bi-polar” by psychiatrists but with a rational basis unlike many others given
such diagnoses).
The second phase of my life ended with the 1998 European School of the
Committee for a Workers’ International (CWI). The CWI linked the Socialist
Party to similar parties/organisations in 30-40 countries of the world (and the
same estimate of the size of the CWI is given today – one indication of its
stagnation). A major debate took place that year about whether the Scottish
Socialist Alliance, within which our organisation (known as Scottish Militant
Labour north of the border) was uniting with other socialists, should transform
itself into a party. There was overwhelming support for the proposal within
Scotland and almost complete if not totally unanimous support in France (whose
leader Murray Smith was the only member of the international leadership to
visit Scotland during the debate); it was however opposed by the British and
international leaderships and the only regions of England or Wales with majority
support were Manchester/Lancashire (my region) and Merseyside (a shadow of its
former self after the defeat of the Militant-led Liverpool City Council a year
after that council inflicted Thatcher’s first significant defeat during the
mid-1980s). I became a particularly important person in the world situation at
that School, by being the only speaker in the debate from England or Wales to
support the Scottish proposal, and I came under a lot of pressure not to make
my speech or make a muck-up of it. I did make a number of very important points
but, in the end, I ran out of time making my speech, had a tussle with the
Chair over the microphone, appealed for a little more time which I didn’t get
and stormed off the platform.
The CWI ultimately voted against the proposal, as did the British
section (the Socialist Party and Scottish Militant Labour combined), but the
Scots were allowed to go ahead and remain in the CWI, to avoid a split (which
did actually happen later). The Scottish Socialist Party (SSP) was therefore
established, which won one seat to the newly-formed Scottish Parliament in 1999
and six seats four years later. The SSP later self-destructed in the wake of
the Tommy Sheridan defamation trial (when the party’s former leader
successfully sued Rupert Murdoch’s News of the World over allegations about his
private life with many other leading members testifying against him), but this setback
would have probably been much less significant from the point of view of
achieving world socialism if the CWI had supported the Scottish proposal,
leading to many other parties like the SSP (broad socialist parties led by
revolutionaries) being established around the world.
The way my speech in that 1998 debate ended was therefore arguably the
biggest mistake I ever made (but failing to get political songs my band Galaxia recorded in Manchester shortly before the 2005 G8
summit on-line in time for that summit could be regarded as more significant).
This mistake and various subsequent ones detailed in this book raise a number
of issues that I still cannot fully resolve contemplating them in 2009, now that
I propose a very different form of socialism in which the government is elected
by proportional representation. What would have happened if I had handled
things differently? Would a Trotskyist form of
socialism have come to power by now, somewhere or everywhere in the world?
Would such an undemocratic form of socialism have led to capitalist
counter-revolution or even the nightmare of nuclear war? Did my subconscious mind
therefore deliberately sabotage what my conscious mind was trying to achieve?
And what were the motivations and political allegiances of the other 200 or so
dedicated (or supposedly dedicated) Trotskyists at
that event?
When returning from that event, I came to the point of view that many
within the CWI were infiltrators from MI5, or similar conspiratorial
organisations based in other countries, and considered setting up a
counter-network to those infiltrators. I was freaked out by a series of
subsequent events, in my view caused by MI5 or similar forces, leading to me
becoming a political prisoner in a hospital psychiatric ward for the first time
– the start of the third phase of my life, during which I spent large periods
of time in such wards, often went absent without leave (AWOL) to attend
important political events, and had to put up with mind-altering drugs usually
with problematic withdrawal symptoms.
This book details my changing analyses of how society works, including
conspiracy theories that I have believed or rejected based on my experiences
and the rational behaviour of individuals or groups of individuals under
various circumstances (but sometimes less rationally than would have been the
case if it hadn’t been for psychiatric medication). For example, I soon
concluded that counter-networks to infiltrators in organisations like MI5
already exist, due to a large number of helpful interactions from others that I
could not rationally dismiss as coincidences, and recognising that setting counter-networks
up would have been the most rational act (apart from giving up) of socialists discovering
such infiltration many decades previously. I also concluded that those in
favour of the continued rule of big business had set up
counter-counter-networks outside the realm of the state, and suspected a
massively complex web of such organisations throughout society (which are
particularly complicated due to there being many different agendas in society
rather than just two).
I developed more sophisticated analyses involving a high degree of
modelling of society by computers, which I knew is possible because it could be
done (albeit with far less complexity and computing power than organisations
like the CIA would have at their disposal) in an artificial
intelligence/simulation language I developed (and was the main designer of) called
SDML. I also considered the subconscious minds of individuals with similar
agendas acting together effectively as super-organisms in a similar way to
James Lovelock’s Gaia theory, but with multiple competing super-organisms
rather than the world as a single one bound to ensure humanity’s survival
(rejected later by Lovelock as global warming fears caused him to abandon his
core beliefs and advocate nuclear power, with little justification). The latter
analysis does not cope with people with multiple agendas or explain how people
join or leave super-organisms without conscious decisions to do so, and it is
more rational to consider such conspiring always taking place in conscious
minds – people getting together in all sorts of informal groups which come to collective
viewpoints (democratically or otherwise) with their members tending to put
forward the views of the groups, with some members particularly loyal and others
more independent-minded.
Strong evidence for a high degree of computer modelling of society,
apart from the many supposed coincidences I have witnessed, is the British
national lottery! The odds of winning a jackpot (predicting all six numbers) by
pure chance are 14 million to one, and the early jackpot wins were of several
million (if not tens of millions of) pounds as would be expected, with £1 per
ticket and half the proceeds going to “good causes”. However, typically
jackpots are now typically shared by several people, and a win of half a
million pounds is regarded as good. The most rational explanation for this is
that events in the world, even those with seemingly low importance for politics
as a lottery outcome, are being modelled accurately by organisations like the
CIA on super-computers, and that lottery results leak out to a small number of
individuals. Such power effectively provides computers with the power to
control many human minds by modelling people’s senses, the contents of their
minds and what they say and do – even controlling some people completely,
particularly those who are less rebellious and therefore more predictable but
important enough to bother with, which can be done gradually by focusing on
their minds, improving the models of the world and restricting their free will
choices. Such complete control can sometimes be overcome by these people coming
into contact with other individuals who are not being controlled and are
exercising particularly strong free will.
There was brilliant evidence of such modelling going wrong when the
early editions of all the main British newspapers claimed that a deal on a $700
billion bailout of the banks by the US government had been made – which George
W Bush claimed had to be made within 24 hours to avoid complete financial
meltdown – this prediction turned out to be false with later editions
correcting this massive error (a modified deal was agreed the following week).
Of course some of the programmers/modellers responsible for the software
that controls people have good motives, and my work on SDML has provided
ordinary people with sophisticated software to be used for good or bad which
would otherwise only be utilised by the likes of the CIA. Nevertheless, I don’t
want my love life determined (at all and certainly not fully) by computer
modellers, and I don’t think many other people would either! I strongly believe
that a major factor that has slowed down the victory of good forces over bad
ones in the world has been the unwillingness of good people to resort to the
highly unethical methods that bad people have used, and controlling people’s
sex lives would obviously be regarded by most well-intentioned people as
unethical. It has been useful at times, from the point of view of helping bring
about a better world, for me to cooperate to a large extent with good
conspiratorial individuals, groups and programs, and having regular but fairly
infrequent injections (called “depots”) made me relatively predictable. I
switched in the spring of 2008 to oral medication, and my free will has
consequently played more of a role since then. I am still a virgin, partly due
to me being choosy about girlfriends and having always wanted to wait for
somebody particularly special to lose my virginity, partly due to me or a
potential partner putting the struggle for a better world ahead of personal
happiness, but I am sure conspirators have deliberately allowed me to delay the
choice of who I lose my virginity to until we reach a time when who I lose it
to will solely depend on my free will and the free will of any potential
partner(s).
Although I have been a member of various left-wing organisations since
leaving the Socialist Party in 1998, my long periods of incarceration and
limited periods of leave have meant that I have not been fully integrated in
any such organisation since. This semi-detached role has had its disadvantages
(particularly in restricting my influence on those organisations and in coming
to some incorrect political positions due to ignorance) but I have been able to
develop a coherent set of politics that I am very confident present a way
forward for the left in these complex times, without the compromises that are
inevitable in agreed positions of political parties.
Undoubtedly the most contentious aspect of my politics has been my
analysis of society as a struggle between good and bad forces, or as between
people with good or bad intentions, as outlined in various documents I have put
on the internet, the most recent being the Good Intentions Manifesto. I found
it impossible to decide whether it was a good idea to set up a Good Intentions
Network in order to unite people with good intentions irrespective of political
viewpoints and whether those intentions were likely to lead to positive
outcomes for the future of the planet. In the end, I compromised by setting up
a bulletin board for the Network at an existing web-based forum I had already
set up, and the lack of interest in taking the idea further on that board
persuaded me to abandon the idea. Although I think my Manifesto was basically
correct, the obvious organisational conclusion that may be drawn from it (and
which I applied for a while) of trying to pick out the well-intentioned members
of a particular organisation to unite with and ostracise those who appear to
have bad intentions can be very divisive and counter-productive. Besides, I
came to the conclusion that nobody is completely well-intentioned, even myself
(and nobody is completely poorly-intentioned either). I had also tended to be
very divisive during my political activity by arguing for proportional
representation-based socialism as an alternative to Marxist conceptions of
socialism, in addition to basing my behaviour on perceived good or bad
intentions, but I modified my strategy to uniting with Marxists in late 2008,
placing an explanation of this change of strategy on key pages on my websites. The
massive economic crisis was crying out for fairly broad organisations
specifically opposed to capitalism, and I recognised the New Anti-Capitalist
Party in France and the Convention of the Left (which I attended during
Labour’s conference in Manchester in September that year as well as the recall
conference in January 2009 that formally established an organisation, in
addition to some local meetings) as very promising initiatives.
I have tended to regard a genuine smile as a sign that somebody has good
intentions and a stern person who never smiles as a sign that somebody has bad
intentions. I still think that this is a very good guide to someone’s
intentions, but I am more wary of relying on it than I used to be. I also tend
to give people the benefit of the doubt much more, which helps them empathise
with me and become better people. My good/bad analysis is very much a religious
viewpoint and I recognise that most active socialists are atheists (due to
Marxism being based on the atheist theories of dialectical and historical
materialism) and few will be won over to this point of view, quickly if ever.
Part of my role is to unite good religious people with good atheists, and
another part is to unite anti-capitalist religious people with anti-capitalist
atheists; I do not regard atheists as the enemy or people who need to be
converted, unlike many religious people, but I’m presenting my analysis as an
alternative to Marxism that other socialists can take or leave as they wish.
One point I wish to make qualifying my religious views is that although
I strongly believe the universe was originally created by some sort of god, or
that things started off with some sort of living universe that conceptually was
equivalent to God, I am unsure whether God still exists. God may have
subdivided into lesser beings at some point, perhaps even the start of the
universe, or ceased to exist at some point when he (or rather “she” since I
believe such a caring being has female characteristics) became no longer
necessary. If there is a devil, he was created by God as an evil being that is
very powerful but not quite powerful enough to triumph. Whether or not the God
and the Devil exist, or whether there are just good and bad conspiratorial
forces conducted by human beings, the good forces would want the world’s
problems solved, and the bad forces could want a world with problems like wars
but deliberately restrain themselves from taking measures that would be so bad
that we would all cease to exist (such as causing a US president to press the
nuclear button. Until recently, I endeavoured to be as good as possible without
endangering the future of the earth. However, meeting someone I loved who was
(at least) a bit bad persuaded me to adopt the attitude that it is good to be a
bit bad – which made decision-making so much easier and quite possibly saved my
life in particularly recent months when more of my enemies concluded that their
struggle was lost. I also met someone who said she knew what heaven was like
(and adopted some weird conspiratorial views that she had become halfway between
heaven and the earth) and heaven sounded so boring! I have sometimes put myself
at conflict with other religious people, particularly my mother, by wanting a
world where there are still problems to be solved. Nevertheless, I have a
strong belief in some sort of afterlife and think that even if heaven is boring
now, it will become much more interesting when I go there!
A Christian friend of a friend once talked about Jesus coming back to
the Earth and said that you would know who he is by his actions, which led me
to believe that Jesus would be the person who plays the biggest role in solving
the world’s problems. As is obvious from the title of this autobiography, with
justification for the importance of my role presented in chapter 3, I consider
that this person is myself – unless I fail in this
task I am attempting to undertake of course. Although I have never considered
myself to be Jesus reincarnated, I have of course contemplated the possibility
that I am another son of God (or perhaps daughter in a man’s body). If this is
the case, which it probably isn’t, I strongly believe there are others like me
on present day Earth, some of whom I have met and at least one who I haven’t
(specifically Martine McCutcheon). I even considered that a woman I knew may
have actually been a projection of God/Mother Earth. This all sounds utterly
ridiculous of course, but considering such possibilities and publishing
information and songs about them on the internet has played a big role in
helping things work out so far, largely because there are so many religious
people in the world! Actually, many people think I am betraying the cause I say
I am fighting for, so there are undoubtedly Christians who see me as an
offspring of the Devil rather than God, or a demon rather than an angel. If
there is something supernatural about me, God may have had other offspring who
played a key role in the past, probably including Mohammed who Muslims regard
as the most important prophet ahead of Jesus, perhaps even all the Latter Day
Saints of the Mormon religion, and maybe some particularly prolific and
exceptional individuals from history like Karl Marx and the science fiction
author Isaac Asimov.
Many of my religious views have been based on rational reasoning about
how an ethical god would behave. When a Christian friend of mine (Julian Beard)
raised the idea, during my childhood, that I should believe in God on the
grounds that I would go to heaven if I was correct and have nothing to lose if
I was wrong, I rejected it on the grounds that an ethical god would prefer
people who thought for themselves and tried to do good things than people who
had blind faith (who would end up doing bad things as a result of following
human beings claiming to know what God wanted). The idea of worshipping God has
never appealed to me, even when I later gained some religious views, because I
could never understand the rationale of God wanting people to gather together
in awe of her power, expecting God to solve their problems rather than doing it
themselves. I have long found the terminology used in Christian worship, such
as “Lord”, no doubt due to the Christianity’s feudal origins (or rather such
origins of Catholicism with Protestantism coming about with the emergence of
capitalism), particularly off-putting, because it tends to encourage obedience
towards supposed human superiors. I seriously considered setting up some sort
of completely different organisation to existing religions with completely
different kinds of services, intending to unite people with a wide range of
religious views, on the basis of thinking for oneself rather than blind faith
and with policies decided democratically, in order to help the struggle for
socialist change, called The Socialist Church (not intending the implied
Christian allegiance of the word “Church” but I couldn’t think of anything
better). However, I got no further than setting up mailing lists and a website
address – drafts of material to put on the website and in a leaflet were of far
too inferior quality for such an ambitious project.
According to a New Scientist article in late 2008, scientists are close to
discovering a cure for ageing – although there is a concern that there may be a
problem with the current technique causing cancer, there is no inherent reason
to suppose that it will not soon be possible to halt ageing, perhaps
indefinitely. Ageing may even be reversible; although the ethical concerns this
raises would hopefully (in my view) prevent the implementation of such
technology, the ability to halt ageing could massively help unity between
religious people and atheists on the following basis – those who believe in an
afterlife, particularly if someone they loved very much has died, would tend to
choose to die naturally, while atheists would tend to want to prolong their
lives forever, with the option of prolonging life for several years and then
dying naturally (perhaps for those religious people who find a new love in
their lives or atheists who finally come to the conclusion that there is
nothing more to live for). [Of course people who choose not to continue ageing
could still die naturally through accidents or lung cancer if they smoke, for
example.] This dilemma would be a real test of faith, where you are actually
risking something by believing in God or an afterlife,
unlike the argument my friend Julian put forward which I suspect is a major
reason for people adopting religious beliefs. Conversely, people who adopt
certain beliefs in their childhood (due to their parents or religious education
at school) would have a real incentive to question such beliefs when they are
older and have greater understanding of the religion and alternative belief
systems.
Perhaps a more significant cause of people smiling or being serious than
whether they are good or bad is their self-confidence (with respect to whatever
agendas they have) at that particular point in time. Nevertheless, although
George W Bush sometimes smiles and can indeed be self-confident, he never comes
across in my opinion as a very caring person. Conversely, both Tommy Sheridan
and Rosie Kane (who, as I argue in this book, are both good despite being on
opposite sides of the defamation trial divide) come across as good people even
when they are not smiling and less confident.
An alternative to the good/bad intentions explanation is that there are
a wide range of agendas in society, represented by an equally wide range of
organisations, some of which are worth uniting with at particular points in
time and some of which should be opposed. This is self-evident and would also
be agreeable to Marxists, but whereas Marxists would generally look to
somebody’s class as to whether they are on the same side, I would argue that
somebody’s demeanour is a much better guide to this.
Where my good/bad analysis alternative to the class-based analysis of
Marxism has become particularly important is in our differing attitudes to Barack Obama. Marxists in Britain
have historically put forward the point of view that both the Democrats and
Republicans in the USA are parties of big business. This has led to the bizarre
situation where the SWP maintains this view of the Democrats but also categorises
Labour in Britain as a “bourgeois workers’ party” (with a capitalist leadership
but mainly working class membership) at a time when its policies are far to the
right of the Democrats and when the level of control exercised by the trade
unions over Labour has become minimal. Whereas I agreed with the Socialist
Party’s changed analysis of Labour as a capitalist party due to the expulsion
of socialists and abandonment of the commitment to nationalisation symbolised
by Clause IV of its constitution, their attitude has also become too rigid and they
have been unwilling to contemplate the opportunities for causing a split within
that party on socialist/capitalist lines in these times of dire economic
circumstances, by returning to the strategy of entrism
– but I have suggested this to Paula Mitchell, a member of their leading party
who I knew well in Manchester, so perhaps I am speaking too soon...
It would of course have been possible using a class-based analysis to
recognise the contradictions in the US Democratic Party, with many small
donations to Obama’s election campaign in addition to
the very large contributions from sections of big business (with about half
coming from each source). However, Marxists tended to take a neutral position
that it didn’t matter whether Obama, Hillary Clinton
or John McCain won, and supported no-hopers like Ralph Nader. US citizens
certainly cared, as shown by the sizeable turnouts on election day and for his
inauguration, particularly from black people who had been massively oppressed
for so long (not that their oppression has magically ended with Obama’s election victory). I produced a newsletter, which I
distributed in Manchester and put on the internet urging its distribution in
the USA, with a headline “Support Barack Obama as a step towards achieving socialism”.
Obama’s approach of uniting races,
religions, members of both mainstream parties and even classes is a problem for
Marxists. I strongly welcomed Obama’s actions in the
first few days after his inauguration – not only passing orders to close
Guantánamo Bay but all the secret CIA detention centres around the world where
torture has been carried out, and, showing his commitment to women’s rights,
ending the refusal of the US administration to support any organisation working
in the third world that provides any sort of support for women who want an
abortion. Other socialists at the Convention of the Left recall conference that
took place just after these first few days were so taken aback that nobody
apart from me mentioned Obama and there was an
overwhelmingly glum mood (presumably due to the poor prospects for the Marxist
agenda of a world solely controlled by the working class) at that event. I felt
that Obama took these steps because he genuinely
wanted to take them, and did them so quickly before other members of his
administration could force him to compromise, taking advantage of the momentum
of an estimated two million people on the streets of Washington DC; in
contrast, the attitude of the SWP according to a leading member was that Obama had to be pressured from below to force him to carry
out his promises. The most extreme Marxist position appeared on the front page
of the Weekly
Worker newspaper, before he even made his inauguration speech indicating his
break from the approach of the Bush presidency – a picture of Obama with the headline “World’s #1 terrorist”, merely on
the basis that he was becoming Commander in Chief of the USA. This could be
laughed off as an ultra-left irrelevance, but Obama
was similarly accused of being a terrorist in chants led by the Muslim
Association of Britain (MAB) at a pro-Gaza protest I attended, and MAB is an
organisation that has frequently been promoted by the SWP as co-organisers of
anti-war demonstrations (including the huge one in London before the start of
the war on Iraq in 2003).
I have long regarded Islamic fundamentalists such as the Iranian regime,
al-Qaeda and the Taleban as hostile organisations as far as achieving socialism
is concerned, and indeed persuaded the Manchester-based Coalition Against
Sanctions and War on Iraq which I was heavily involved in to oppose Saddam
Hussein and the Ba’athist regime, so that we could
argue that the only solution was for ordinary people to rise up and overthrow
the regime. Fundamentalists of all religions, with Zionists being Jewish
fundamentalists and the Bible Belt of the USA and many Catholics (including the
Pope) being Christian fundamentalists, tend to be among the worst people in
society while more moderate religious people tend to be among the best. I would
argue that the Koran gives Muslims a more complete belief system than the Bible
gives Christians (largely because it was written later), which tends to make
Islamic fundamentalists more extreme (and willing to become suicide bombers for
example) than those of other religions but moderate Muslims tend to be very
good people indeed. The hostility they face in Western society, since George W
Bush launched “the war on terror” after 9/11, exacerbates these tendencies, and
female Muslims tend to be particularly good politically due to the
discrimination they also face from the patriarchal societies in which they live
controlled by big business and from male members of their own religion.
Whereas Obama has made some very positive
moves as far as easing the tensions with Muslims is concerned, notably
dispatching George Mitchell who helped achieve peace in Northern Ireland to
Palestine, indicating his willingness to negotiate with Iran and setting out a
timetable for withdrawal from Iraq, his move in the opposite direction in
sending more troops to Afghanistan gives ammunition to those who label Obama as a terrorist. It is also problematic for my
analysis, when I label Obama as good and many of
those fighting US and British troops in Afghanistan as bad. Surely it follows
that I should want Western troops to win?
To this argument, I would ask those Marxists who act as cheerleaders for
Islamic fundamentalists (the SWP in particular) – do you think the levels of
democracy (however imperfect), relative peace and (albeit moderate)
improvements to the Iraqi economy a bad thing? Do you take the traditional Leninist
position that the main enemy is at home to an extreme and want these
improvements to the situation in Iraq to be undone? Even though you were too
scared to admit in your slogans what some tiny ultra-left sects were less
reluctant to point out, that you wanted victory to Iraq, is that still your
goal? Or isn’t it time to recognise that the US military is no longer the
number one threat to progressive forces around the world, and that the change
in the US administration is already doing much to improve the prospects for
peace in the Middle East and throughout the world (and has indeed helped bring
about a situation where withdrawal of US forces from Iraq is practicable in the
near future without handing victory to Islamic fundamentalists).
I am not saying I support the surge in US troops in Afghanistan. This
measure could undo a lot of the good that Obama has
done already, and with hardly any trade but opium, there is little option for
the Afghani people but to fight US and British forces. What I am saying is that
the old Marxist analysis of US imperialism being the biggest enemy needs to be
abandoned and political positions adopted based on what helps create a better
world. [Militant was less dogmatic than the SWP and analysed what position to
take on each issue based on what practically made socialism more likely, but I
see little sign from afar that the Socialist Party today has drawn sufficient
lessons from the new world situation.]
The most positive contribution I can make, and have already made in a
letter to the Weekly
Worker (in January 2009), is suggest that negotiation between the Obama administration and Iran would be the most positive
proposal as far as improving relations between the West and Muslims and
achieving peace throughout the Middle East. I pointed out that Obama is more left-wing than Tony Blair was, and even New
Labour under Blair negotiated peace in Northern Ireland. No agreement between
the Bush administration and the Iranian regime, even if they had been willing
to reach one, could possibly have been in the interests of the ordinary Iranian
people because neither side would have borne their interests in mind. Blair was
able to reach an agreement with Sinn Féin (and other
parties) that was reasonably satisfactory to ordinary Irish people that would
have been impossible under the Tories. That agreement was denounced by Marxists
due to it not resulting in a united Ireland, but few would regard it as a
negative development today.
I now feel that, after Obama’s victory and a
number of things I have done which I consider may have been crucial (including
publishing the code of my artificial intelligence/simulation language SDML as
open source software to guard against the danger of any conspirators becoming
our new oppressors using computer modelling), I am in the fourth stage of my
life where some sort of reasonably good solution to the world’s problems will
happen, and that I no longer need to worry about some sort of catastrophe for
the human race. Part of this optimism is due to confidence that I will do
whatever is necessary; indeed, writing the introduction to this autobiography
(and later the rest of it) has been part of my plan for ensuring things work
out. I have been wary of publicising this optimism too widely, because a
fatalistic attitude can hamper attempts to get people to take action (and I
subconsciously sabotaged the prospects of socialists at the 2007 Scottish
parliamentary elections somewhat by emailing widely the fatalistic lyrics of
the first version of my song “The World Is Planned” shortly before those
elections), but I see little danger in being honest about these views at this
point in this introduction. I am not arguing from a fatalistic viewpoint – I
have adopted some religious views
about the importance of free will, and I believe that free will is incompatible
with what Marxists call “materialism” (that lies at the basis of their theory
and which is known by philosophers as “determinism”), and the free will of all
sentient beings will determine the sort of good society that comes about. In
any case, many readers of this will disagree with some or most of my analysis
and take action to help avoid a catastrophe – for instance through nuclear war,
global warming, bird flu or a racial war based on genes (which I have
specifically warned about with regard to the J Craig Venter Institute’s
discovery of artificial bacteria and their suggestion that they could release
such bacteria to stop global warming).
Despite my support for Obama, it is clear that
he is desperately trying to rescue US capitalism from the massive crisis it is
in, commonly referred to as “the credit crunch”. His bailout of the banks
benefits ordinary people far more than Bush’s bailout, but it is necessary
(just as Gordon Brown’s bailouts in Britain have been necessary) to avoid an
imminent financial meltdown.
I will finish writing this introduction soon, in time for the G20 summit
in London and demonstrations taking place in the run-up to and during that
event, starting with a mass demonstration on Saturday the 28th of
March supported by the TUC and many individual trade unions, plus a number of
charities and campaigning organisations (see www.putpeoplefirst.org.uk for details). I
plan to produce printed booklets of this introduction for sale at a cheap price
(all proceeds to the Foundation for Proportional Representation-based
Socialism) as well as updating the Revolution Destroyed? website and distributing the new
introduction by email and putting it on various internet forums.
I need to develop a better understanding of capitalist economics and
alternative economic strategies for the left to put forward in opposition to
the G20 leaders. To aid that task, I plan to attend discussions on economic
crisis at a Communist Students public meeting (Wed 11 March, 6.30pm, Meeting
Room 1, Manchester University Student Union) and a Manchester Convention of the
Left meeting with representatives invited from various organisations (Mon 16
March, 7pm, Friends Meeting House, Mount Street, Manchester) plus a Steady
State Economics teach-in (Wed 18 March, 7pm, Meeting Room 1, basement of
Manchester University Student Union).
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